(This is the professional website for Dr. Loren Cobb. For his academic webpage, click here.)

Our Business is Modeling & Simulation in these Areas:

• Poverty, unemployment, and income disparity
• Corruption of the civil service, legislature, and judicial system
• Informal economies, contraband, and organized crime
• Education, population growth, and public health
• Intergenerational transmission of sexual abuse, violence & addictions
• and others on request

Our International Services Include:

• Analysis of policy alternatives for economic development and national security
• Simulation support for training exercises in US, UN, and NATO peacekeeping operations
• Expertise in international negotiations and domestic conflict mediation
• Sophisticated statistical methods for nonlinear dynamical systems

We Deliver:

• International and multilingual experience at all levels
• World-class technical and national security expertise
• Complete discretion and confidentiality
• Full resources of the Univ of Colorado Denver's Department of Mathematics

Dr. Loren Cobb, President Telephone Email Data 720-890-4952 cobb@Aetheling.com Résumé (PDF)

We support the United Nations

Our Statement of Philosophy

The Viking raiders of 1000 years ago evolved gradually into a prosperous Scandinavian society dedicated to peace and social advancement, a shining example for all nations on Earth. Why and how did this happen? We have a few ideas on this point, and we believe that these give us hope for peace everywhere in the world. Ætheling Consultants are dedicated to the proposition that peace and prosperity are possible and achievable. We provide sophisticated mathematical modeling and analytical support to any nation that is trying to emerge from poverty, corruption, civil war, ethnic conflict, illiteracy, and epidemics of trauma and despair.

National Strategic Exercises

• Information, Articles, Reports
• An Invitation to NationLab (live simulations!)

Articles

• The Impact of Social Theory on Modeling (HSCB Workshop paper)
• The Persistence of War (the intergenerational cycle of trauma and war)
• DEXES (the simulation model for Military Operations Other Than War)
• Statistical Catastrophe Theory (statistical theory for the cusp catastrophe model)
• Catastrophe Data Analysis (statistical data analysis for the cusp catastrophe model)
• Stochastic Differential Equations for the Social Sciences (monograph)
• Minimalist Modeling Methodology (a statement of modeling principles)
• Top-Down Research Design (an iconoclastic approach to research design)
• A Scale for Measuring Very Rare Events (the original paper, revised)
• Estimation Theory for Catastrophe Models (the fundamental paper)

Essays and Stories

• Warfighting vs Peacekeeping (meditations on the cause of peace)
• The Path to Peace (little-known trends towards peace)
• A Quaker in the Military (reflections of a pacifist among the warriors)
• Lao Tsu for Government Consultants (advice from 2500 years ago)
• Mantener La Paz con la ONU (peacekeeping with the UN, in Spanish)
• Beowulf (a new look at an old monster story)
• Demeter and Persephone (a myth for Mother's Day)
• Borel's Law and Creationism (what Emile Borel really said)
• Looking Back from the Year 2100 (an interview with a 150-year-old man)
• Christian Discipline (an essay on corporal punishment)
• A Militia Story (this story is true, unfortunately)
• The one who got away (an essay on charity and suffering)

Special Sections

• Mechanical Investing (material on quantitative financial analysis)
• The Quaker Economist (an on-line journal edited by Loren Cobb)
• Recent Radio Interviews
  • Pacifica interview on the subject of War and Trauma (3-May-07)
  • Spirit in Action interview in two parts (30-Dec-07 and 6-Jan-08)
  • Wisconsin Public Radio interview on The World's Silver Lining (26-Feb-08)
• Recent Television Story
  • Professors Compare Wildfires, Epidemics (Denver's Channel 7, 29-Apr-09)

Wikipedia Forever!

External Links

STRATMAS (State-of-the-art simulation for civil/military peacekeeping)
Erdös Number (My Erdös number is 4: Paul Erdös—Gordon Basil—Sinai Robins—Shelemyahu Zacks—Loren Cobb)

This website was last revised 26 June 2010.